Madhya Pradesh Crisis: How The Numbers Stack Up

The Kamal Nath government in Madhya Pradesh is in crisis after Jyotiraditya Scindia's exit from Congress

The Congress in Madhya Pradesh is in deep trouble after 17 MLAs loyal to Jyotiraditya Scindia were flown to BJP-ruled Karnataka on Monday. Mr Scindia also resigned from the Congress. A total of 21 MLAs have sent resignation letters to the Raj Bhavan, sources have said.

Mr Scindia, who has been out of reach of Congress leaders since Monday, suddenly appeared in Delhi this morning with BJP chief Amit Shah and met with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, leading to speculation that he is likely to join the BJP today. Mr Scindia then tweeted a letter that he wrote to Sonia Gandhi, giving his resignation.

The Kamal Nath government, which came to power 15 months ago, has been surviving on a wafer-thin majority.

Here's how the numbers stack up if the Congress MLAs exit from the Madhya Pradesh government.

Total assembly size

230

Current strength

227 (two died, one suspended)

120 MLAs with Kamal Nath government
Majority mark: 114
Margin: Just 6 above majority mark
Composition: 114 Congress, 6 allies

Without 21 Congress MLAs

Majority mark comes down to 104
Total MLAs falls to 206
Congress: 99
BJP: 107