The southwest monsoon is well on course and is expected to hit Kerala coast in the next 48-72 hours, a senior weather official said on Sunday.
The forecast is in line with India Meteorological Department (IMD's) prediction of monsoon hitting Kerala coast by May 29. The forecast was with a model error of plus and minus four days.
"2018 monsoon on its way. Onset over Kerala expected next 48-72 hrs. Heavy rains in the next 72 hrs. over Kerala and Lakshadweep," M Rajeev, secretary in the Ministry of Earth Sciences said in tweet.
The onset which marks the entry of southwest monsoon over India will be accompanied by very heavy rains over Kerala and Lakshadweep in the next three-days.
IMD's clarification puts to rest speculations over the impact of cyclone 'Mekunu' on the onset of southwest monsoon over India.
But, a timely onset of monsoon over Kerala does not guarantee its normal progress over other parts of the country and also overall performance of the rains.
The met department in its first forecast of monsoon for 2018 released last month predicted that monsoon is expected to be 'normal', brightening chances of recovery in farm sector which has seen fluctuating growth rates in the first four years.
IMD said that rainfall in June to September period is expected to be at 97 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with model error of plus and minus 5 per cent.
LPA is the averag...